So where do you put your retirement savings? As cash in a bank account or in a diversified portfolio. Why should Social Security be any different?
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Zifnab |
Is Privatizing Social Security a bad idea? |
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Over the past 80 years the average stock market return is an inflation adjusted 7.6%. The average inflation adjusted rate of return for the Social Security
is 1.23%. Over 15 years a $10,000 investment will grow to $33,000 at a 7.6% rate of return. By comparison the same investment would grow to only $12,000 @
1.23%
So where do you put your retirement savings? As cash in a bank account or in a diversified portfolio. Why should Social Security be any different? |
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Cinabre |
#1 | |||
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If we were talking about individual investment, of course you would go with the fund with the higher return. Unforunately, we're stuck with the Ponzi
scheme known as Social Security. In its original inception, it had a chance to be a workable and meaningful program. It has since been extended, enhanced,
raided and ruined to the point where we can't stop younger earners from putting money into it without cutting benefits of the "greatest
generation". That's one voting block that no politician wants to piss off, hence they leave it alone or keep talking about it but never come up with
any way to change it for the good or eliminate it.
Many times in battle, one might lose their mind, their life, their soul. What makes them a Marine is that they entered combat knowing the price they might pay, and chose to enter it anyway. |
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Kayso Gnomehater |
#2 | |||
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Social Security is a great idea. Social Security as we do it is a horrible idea. I'm not sure how you "fix" something that's fatally flawed
by design.
The fix is to phase out the program and replace it with one that works. At some point the government needs to pony up a huge chunk of money to fund those who are already collecting and to pay back those of us who have contributed over the years. From then on, what is withheld should be your own pool of money. If that were done, I think people should be allowed to privately invest their SS money like it was an IRA with some restrictions -- a certain % of it should be in guaranteed investments with that % increasing as you approach retirement age. And just to be clear, that's not really "privatizing" SS. |
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Tiberion |
#3 | |||
Cinabre wrote: When you have a free hour or so, I suggest reading the Cato Institute's plan for social security. It been awhile since I've read it, but it seems
like a viable solution that could turn social security into a huge win for everyone.
What you've just said is one of the most insanely idiotic things I've ever heard. At no point in your rambling, incoherent response was there anything
that could even be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy
on your soul!
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Zifnab |
#4 | |||
The fix is to phase out the program and replace it with one that worksThat's how I see it. I'd also like see someone take a serious look at offering tax payers a way to opt-out where SS could keep all past money paid into it by a taxpayer with no owed benefit in exchange for collecting no further taxes from that individual. |
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Cinabre |
#5 | |||
Tiberion wrote: Thanks for the link Tiberion. Don't have time to read the entire plan, but did read the executive summary. The bullet points seem workable if one could get past a major hurdle in the last sentence of the first paragraph, specifically - "a proposal to give workers ownership of and control over their retirement funds." I just can't see any version of our Congress giving that control back to the people it should rightly belong too. Many times in battle, one might lose their mind, their life, their soul. What makes them a Marine is that they entered combat knowing the price they might pay, and chose to enter it anyway. |
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Tiberion |
#6 | |||
Cinabre wrote:Yeah, the other major hurdle is funding "the transition". While they make a compelling case on how it could be accomplished, a lot of those ideas are things I could never see Congress actually doing. It's definitely a very detailed plan and a really good read, IMO.
What you've just said is one of the most insanely idiotic things I've ever heard. At no point in your rambling, incoherent response was there anything
that could even be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy
on your soul!
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Gandol teh Pirate |
#7 | |||
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I guess the thing I'd be concerned about is the massive drops that occur in the stock market. The last thing you'd want is a couple or a widow to be
poised for retirement, only to see the market lose some double-digit pct. of its value as the dot-com bust or the credit crunch hits. You'd also want to
set up blind trusts for fiscal management so that political favoritism doesn't trample all over wise, unbiased investment strategies.
If those issues were properly addressed, I'm not sure it would be such a bad idea.
Zarr's contextualized position on slavery:
For a humorous example, I sold myself as a slave at a charity auction once. I ended up spending the day chopping wood at a farm. It's slavery, but it's far from immoral. |
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Zifnab |
#8 | |||
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The only person that should be concerned about massive swings in the stockmarket are traders. Investors however take the long view. Life cycle funds are a
great example of how social security monies could be invested. The closer you are to retirement, the less risk you take.
Your hypothetical widow would be heavily invested in cash and bonds and hold few equities compared to you and I. |
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Fishbeak |
#9 | |||
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Privatizing SS is a terrible idea.
Either do away with it (and the accompanying tax) or fully fund it. Inviting leeches like Haliburton to the table does nothing but transfer tax dollars offshore. Haliburton is now based in Kuwait or Qatar... or UAE. Somewhere in the ME. Not to single them out as I am sure there are dozens and dozens just like them. They just come to mind as the premiere example of a corporation that sucks on the government's tit. It's companies like that that will step in if SS is privatized. As an individual I am fully funding my own damn retirement. SS will not be there when I retire. That's my plan. I invest mostly in offshore markets, about half in Asian markets. The rest in a couple generic emerging markets funds. Last year iirc I got a 9% return.
Borofin's bitch
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Kayso Gnomehater |
#10 | |||
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Fish, I agree with what you posted, but I'm pretty sure the words "privatizing" is being used incorrectly. Technically it means what you said.
And you're right, that would be a horrible idea.
I think what everyone else is talking about is funding it fully, keeping it a government program, but allowing the individual to have more options than the <2% return vehicle it's supposed to be theoretically invested in now. I guess the thing I'd be concerned about is the massive drops that occur in the stock market. The last thing you'd want is a couple or a widow to be poised for retirement, only to see the market lose some double-digit pct. of its value as the dot-com bust or the credit crunch hits. There'd have to be rules. As you approach retirement age, a greater percentage of your investment would need to be in low-risk/guaranteed investments. |
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Zifnab |
#11 | |||
Inviting leeches like Haliburton to the table does nothing but transfer tax dollars offshoreI'm trying to understand how you are making the connection between Haliburton & diversified investments. By privitizing I am refering to private investment accounts as opposed to Social Security money being used as tax income through the forced purchase of government bonds. |
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Feydakin Rainsong |
#12 | |||
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I've said it before, and I'll say it again... if the gubmint would offer me the option to never pay another dime into Social Security in exchange for
never withdrawing benefits at retirement, I'd jump on it in a heartbeat, and they can keep every cent I've already paid in. That's an extra
hundred bucks in my paycheck (more if you throw in Medicare) that I would sooner invest on my own toward retirement. Sure, there are people that would opt out
of Social Security contributions and NOT invest that money toward their retirement, but that's their problem. As a compromise to make sure there's no
backlash of people 20-30 years from now retiring and then begging for government assistance, they could pass legislation mandating that the money not put into
Social Security has to be deposited into an approved retirement account (401k/403b/IRA etc.) so that people aren't just blowing that money on hookers or
video games.
"Our great war is a spiritual war. Our great depression.... is our lives."
Have you met Tyler Durden? |
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fatesdefiance |
#13 | |||
Kayso Gnomehater wrote: Maybe not "really", but I've heard nearly identical plans floated by conservatives--and I think what you suggest would be the best solution.
It's unfortunate that we're never likely to see that happen, particularly not with a liberal Congress. Well, not before the hammer really drops on our
economy.
Hunter Tarryn Valewalker -- Twisted Fates
(Prexus - Retired) Nightshade Tarryn Valewalker -- Kingfisher Brigade EQ2 - Unrest Tarryn of Dale, Hunter -- Dies Irae LotRO - Meneldor |
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Physic FormerlyHasRez |
#14 | |||
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i actually liked bush's 5% plan. it wasn't a privatization move by any stretch, but it was a start in the right direction imo.
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Kayso Gnomehater |
#15 | |||
fatesdefiance wrote: Privatizing means to me, and apparently to Fish too, that we'd outsource the administration, oversight, and investment of the funds to a private company. That I think would be a horrible idea. But allowing people who pay into the system to have some choices of how their specific monies are invested is a good idea in my book. And I agree with Physic, Bush's plan was by no means a solution, but it was better than nothing. At least people our would know that 5% (+ interest) of
our countributions would actually be available for us by the time we die.
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Fishbeak |
#16 | |||
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Yeah, privatization to me means we turn over the administration of the program to a private firm. That's what it has meant in privatizing schools and
prisons.
I mention Haliburton only because it will be a company like Haliburton that gets the contract. I don't think that's a good nor a safe thing.
Borofin's bitch
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fatesdefiance |
#17 | |||
Fishbeak wrote: My interpretation of privatization was to allow individuals some amount of discretionary private investment, within the scope of the plan. I actually didn't realize that the wholesale transfer of the program's management to the private sector had been seriously floated...
Hunter Tarryn Valewalker -- Twisted Fates
(Prexus - Retired) Nightshade Tarryn Valewalker -- Kingfisher Brigade EQ2 - Unrest Tarryn of Dale, Hunter -- Dies Irae LotRO - Meneldor |
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Zifnab |
#18 | |||
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Obama considers Social Security "fundamentally sound". His solution is a trillion dollar tax increase over 10 years by lifting the caps while not
extending benefits. Obama rejects the notion that people making over $97,000 are middle class. This will be especially hard on small business owners and the
self employed who are required to pay both ends of the tax.
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creac |
#19 | |||
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Well, over here, your employer is required to contribute 9% of your gross pay to superannuation. This is taken pre-tax and super has significant tax
advantages. You can choose between your own, privately managed super fund, an industry fund, an employer fund or any of the various private funds.
There's legislation regarding fees and other things and in most of them you can tailor your investment strategy within the specific fund. You can't touch the money unitl you retire unless you can prove exceptional hardship - not even being bankrupt can necessarily touch it. Pension (social security) is paid to those who don't have sufficient super income (super is growing, it's basically replacing the aged pension). Some employers offer a higher contribution and, of course, you can contribute yourself (also pre-tax). Upon retirement, you can take a certain percentage tax free each year or you can take more and pay tax (the idea is to encourage people not to blow it all). At the end of the day, the bit about employers paying the super is just a way of forcing it to happen rather than relying on individuals who might be tempted to spend it instead - it's just privatisation of what you guys call social security. We haven't removed social security, but the vast, vast majority of people with superannuation will not qualify for it on retirement. For those on a lower income there's a scaled (up to about 50k a year-ish) potential for the government to co-contribute to match your personal contributions to super (not including the 9% from the employer) up to a certain limit. The idea again, is to encourage people to save more and the cost to the government now is obviously less than it wil be later and that investment by the government will appreciate at a better rate. That's a very simplistic view but, in short, it's private social security in the sense that many of you here are talking about. It works. And I'm glad that a fundamentally left-of-the-US country can show you the way (/wave Borofin :-) Farwarden Creac Peregrinate
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Zifnab |
#20 | |||
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My wife keeps hinting at wanting to move to Australia. She has the opportunity every so often through her employer. Maybe we should take them up on it for a
few years. You guys seem sensible.
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Kayso Gnomehater |
#21 | |||
Zifnab wrote:By "not extending benefits" does that mean the person who is paying FICA on 150K is only "banking" ss benefit as if he had contributed in at the cap ammount? Are you sure that's right? |
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Morkenlar |
#22 | |||
By "not extending benefits" does that mean the person who is paying FICA on 150K is only "banking" ss benefit as if he had contributed in at the cap ammount? Are you sure that's right?Sounds right, Kayso. Remember, he thinks people making that much are "rich".
Mork
"A government that robs Peter to pay Paul can always depend on the support of Paul" |
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Zifnab |
#23 | |||
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http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/story?id=3638710
Eliminating the Social Security tax cap without changing the benefit formula could undermine support for the program among the roughly five percent of Americans who earn more than $97,000 per year. "It would be a radical change in how the program has been designed," said Robert Bixby, executive director of the Concord Coalition, a non-partisan group that advocates a balanced budget. "It would end the contributory idea of Social Security, where you get back something for what you put in." |
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Aielman KajiraLiege |
#24 | |||
Zifnab wrote:
What...and lose the man cave?!? Nevah!!
peace,
"There are no stupid questions...but there certainly are a LOT of inquisitive idiots" Husband, Father, Squisher of bugs.
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vizco |
#25 | |||
"It would end the contributory idea of Social Security, where you get back something for what you put in."It would also end the ability of people to pretend Social Security is anything but a welfare program. Regardless, Social Security is not the program that's in trouble; it's Medicare. Projections show S. S. to be okay for many decades to come, but Medicare is growing at a much faster rate. ![]() Harmony of Souls : My Quiver All this science I don't understand; it's just my job five days a week. |
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Ohms64 |
#26 | |||
vizco wrote:I am not sure how you call SS a welfare program. I will have paid at least 80k into this program over my lifetime (and thats being pretty conservative). Hell I think I deserve something back. If I was able to invest just the first 20k of that and let it grow over my lifetime, I would be getting much more in return then the tiny check I am told I will get when I retire. Don't get me wrong, I am not banking on SS but I have paid into it and think I should see something when I go to retire. |
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